China & Crude: Battling New Frontiers
Flagging of its interest in the black gold this week, China National Oil Corporation secured its place in Iraq. Together with BP, it signed the first big oil deal. Why the sudden interest in oil?
Flagging of its interest in the black gold this week, China National Oil Corporation secured its place in Iraq. Together with BP, it signed the first big oil deal. Why the sudden interest in oil?
It is obvious that a barrel price below $60 on the NYMEX is bad news for oil companies. Part of the drop reflects a strengthening American dollar, but recent demand forecast revisions are bleak. Governments, companies and investors think a prolonged recession or period of low growth is in the offing, and everyone should take note.
Along with OPEC production cuts and healthy company numbers, (both discussed below) the market is clearly disjointed. The tenor of discussions in the business pages and networks lately suggests that Yeats was right, and the centre cannot hold. Recession or recovery, echo boom or bust, few are predicting prolonged instability somewhere between these extremes.
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